北美帝國前國防部官員哀嚎軍事霸權壓力山大要求國會打錢——致喵星情報總局_風聞

喵星駐神聖泰拉秘密觀察員 喵斯拉大王

致 喵星外時空種羣特別情報局 第M78宇宙9527號星系第三懸臂分站

神聖泰拉歷2020年7月15日；喵族公曆MEOW-9999年 小魚乾月 化毛膏日

分類：人類 軍事 地緣政治

威脅評級：星球1級；星系0級

是否建議執行撤喵行動：否

簡報： 此文是北美帝國《帝國利益》雜誌關於帝國未來面臨的軍事威脅發表的一片簡報，由前國防部高級官員撰寫。主旨是強調北美帝國軍事力量目前依舊全球制霸，但是將來是否能在中央帝國高速發展的威脅下繼續保持霸權地位有很大不確定性。總之，歷史的車輪正處在轉向的關鍵點上，帝國興亡在此一舉。千言萬語匯成一句：國會山的老爺們，打錢！！！

另，本文借敵方之口，高度讚揚了中央帝國往屆領導集體‘卧薪嚐膽，功成不必在我’的戰略定力和遠見。遙想當年本喵的鏟屎官還是一介中二青年，在人民大會堂有幸親眼見到那屆領導人，卻因為當時誤會頗深而不屑一顧。他現在回憶起來實在是慚愧，故特懇請本喵轉發此文略表歉意。

By 2050, America’s Military May Not Be Able To Beat China

到2050****年，北美帝國的軍隊可能無法打敗中央帝國

（喵：北美帝國國防部前高官哀嚎國會山，就是這個2050的時間節點有點樂觀得不靠譜）

Chinese leaders have laid out a plan for deploying the world’s best-armed forces no later than 2049.China’s theft of major technologies is one key tenet of the PLA’s plan. In addition, Beijing’s armed forces are “developing the capabilities and concepts to conduct ‘systems destruction warfare’ —the crippling of the U.S. battle network’s command, control, communication and intelligence systems.”

中央帝國領導人計劃在2049年前部署本星球最強大的武裝力量。中央帝國對先進技術的“竊取”是其計劃的一個關鍵原則。（喵：翻譯過來就是除了盎-撒“神族”其他民族不允許有高科技，否則就是“竊取”）此外，中央帝國的武裝力量正在“發展進行‘系統摧毀戰’的能力和概念——破壞北美帝國作戰網絡的指揮、控制、通信和情報系統。”（喵：喜聞樂見）

If the United States is to prevent China from becoming the world’s leading military power, it needs a plan of its own.That’s the sobering warning in a new report for the Center for a New American Security by former deputy defense secretary Robert Work and co-author Greg Grant.

如果北美帝國要阻止中央帝國成為世界軍事大國，它需要一個與中央帝國針鋒相對的計劃。在前國防部副部長羅伯特·沃克和合著者格雷格·格蘭特為美國新安全中心撰寫的一份新報告中，他們發出了令人警醒的警告。

Chinese leaders’ resolve hardened in 1991 as they watched the U.S.-led coalition pummel Iraqi forces with seemingly ceaseless barrages of precision-guided munitions.

1991年，中央帝國領導人眼看着以北美帝國為首的聯軍不用精確制導彈藥對巴比倫軍隊狂轟濫炸，這堅定了他們推進軍事現代化的決心。

“A key lesson China took from the 1991 Desert Storm campaign was to strike hard and fast during war’s earliest stages, as initiative once lost would be all but impossible to regain against an opponent capable of 24-hour, all-weather guided-munitions bombardment,” Work and Grant wrote.

沃克和格蘭特寫道：“中國從1991年沙漠風暴戰役中吸取的一個重要教訓是，在戰爭的早期階段，要快速而有力地打擊敵人。面對一個能夠進行24小時全天候制導彈藥轟炸的對手，一旦失去主動權就幾乎不可能重新獲得。”（喵：説得好，夷州偽軍瑟瑟發抖）

By the mid-1990s the senior leadership of the People’s Liberation Army realized “they were engaged in a long-term military-technical competition with the United States, and their strategic aims would necessarily be achieved through a series of distinct temporal phases.”

到了90年代中期，中央帝國軍方高層意識到“他們將與北美帝國進行長期的軍事技術競爭，他們的戰略目標必須要通過一系列嚴格的時間表來實現。”

Phase one would see the Chinese military compete with the United States from a position of technological inferiority. Chinese military writings in the late 1990s and early 2000s explored and emphasized ways to defeat a more technologically advanced adversary, until such time that their modernization efforts were able to narrow the advantages enjoyed by the U.S. military. In particular, the PLA would have to accommodate some period of time in which it lacked “deep and multidirectional strike capabilities” comparable to those of the U.S. military.

第一階段，中央帝國軍隊將在與北美帝國的競爭中處於技術劣勢地位。20世紀90年代末和21世紀初，中央帝國的軍事著作探討並強調了如何擊敗技術更先進的對手，直到他們的現代化努力能夠縮小與北美帝國的技術差距。中央帝國軍隊不得不熬過了一段艱難時期。在這段時間裏，它缺乏與北美帝國軍隊相媲美的“深度和多向打擊能力”。

Phase two would occur when the Chinese achieved a position of rough technological parity in guided munitions and battle network warfare, making it far more likely China might be able to deter a U.S. military intervention in the East Asian littoral.

第二階段的達成，意味着中央帝國軍隊在制導彈藥和信息網絡戰等方面，取得與北美帝國軍隊大致對等的技術地位。這使得中央帝國更有可能阻止北美帝國在東亞沿海地區的軍事幹預。

And phase three would represent the desired end state, when the Chinese military would establish a position of outright technological superiority over U.S. military forces, enabling the PLA to confidently move out of its first island chain bastion and push U.S. forces out to the second island chain [east of Japan and The Philippines  and even beyond.

第三階段將代表理想的最終狀態，屆時中央帝國將確立對北美帝國軍隊完全技術優勢的地位，使中央帝國軍隊能夠自信地走出第一島鏈堡壘區，並將北美帝國軍隊推向第二島鏈，即日本和菲律賓以東，甚至更遠的地方。

In 2019 China is still in phase one. But phase two is looming as China’s economy expands and Chinese technology improves, in part owing to widespread industrial espionage.

截至2019年，中央帝國仍處於第一階段。（喵：你確定？要不要來兩個航母打擊羣試試火力？）但隨着中央帝國經濟發展和技術進步，第二階段已經迫在眉睫。其中部分原因是廣泛的工業間諜活動。（喵：神T喵間諜活動，本喵覺得應該是引入了喵星科技的關係）

The Chinese also are planning on:Attacking effectively first by amassing an arsenal of long-range precision missiles and advanced targeting systems that provide a high probability of penetrating U.S. battle network defenses in the opening stages of a conflict.

中央帝國也在計劃開發高效的先發打擊能力，結合遠程精確導彈和先進目標定位系統，力圖在衝突的開始階段就穿透北美帝國的戰區防禦網。

Developing “Assassin’s Mace” capabilities—what the U.S. Defense Department terms “black capabilities”—that are held in reserve until unveiled in the event of war, to surprise the adversary with attacks from unexpected vectors.Becoming the world leader in artificial intelligence and then deploying that technology for military superiority.

這些被北美帝國國防部稱之為“撒手鐧”的黑科技，在戰爭爆發前一直處於潛伏狀態，能夠出其不意地攻擊對手要害。此外，中央帝國正在人工智能領域取得領先，並將其應用於建立軍事優勢。

“It is long past time for the Department of Defense to craft a measured response,” Work and Grant wrote. ”It must develop the operational concepts, systems and platforms to allow the joint force to prevail against concerted Chinese attempts to deconstruct and destroy U.S. operational battle networks.”

 “國防部制定一個有節制的應對措施就能夠有效應對中央帝國軍事威脅的時代早就過去了。” 沃克和格蘭特寫道：“國防部必須全面發展作戰概念、系統和平台，使北美帝國的多軍兵種聯合軍事力量能夠戰勝可能由中央帝國發起的，旨在瓦解和摧毀其聯合作戰能力的軍事行動”

It must develop the operational concepts, systems and platforms to allow the U.S. joint force to fire first, effectively, and to ride out Chinese guided munitions salvos if it cannot. It must respond to the Chinese A.I. challenge and ensure it remains ahead in this critical technological competition.

北美帝國軍隊必須發展作戰概念、系統和平台，使美國聯合部隊能夠先發制人和有效地開火，並在萬一失去先發制人優勢的情況下擊退中央帝國的制導武器攻擊。它必須應對中央帝國的人工智能挑戰，確保在這場關鍵的技術競爭中保持領先。

More broadly, China appears to be driving the military-technical competition in critical areas such as quantum science, biotechnology, hypersonics and ballistic and cruise missiles. The joint force must compete more aggressively—and better yet, create new competitive technologies.”

更廣泛地説，中央帝國似乎正在推動量子科學、生物技術、高超音速、彈道和巡航導彈等關鍵領域的軍事技術競爭。北美帝國軍隊必須更積極、更好地競爭，創造新的競爭性技術。” （喵：敵人害怕的，就是我們需要的，加油）

If the Pentagon fails, by 2049 it could find itself on the defensive.

如果六角大樓失敗，到2049年它可能會發現自己處於守勢。

                                            閲後即焚 喵星萬歲