日本軍事升級計劃引發對亞洲安全的擔憂_風聞

轉載自：中國日報

Japan military upgrade plans spark concerns for Asia security, experts say

By WANG XU in Tokyo and ZHAO RUINAN in Beijing | China Daily | Updated: 2022-08-23 10:00Reports that Japan may deploy long-range missiles to counter China have alarmed experts, who say the country is aggressively moving away from peaceful development and its pacifist Constitution.

The Yomiuri Shimbun newspaper on Sunday reported that Japan is seeking to deploy 1,000 long-range missiles in addition to its stockpile of anti-ballistic missiles to boost its counterattack capability against China, citing unidentified government sources.

The report is significant because Japan’s pacifist Constitution forbids it from having weapons that can strike targets on foreign soil. A source quoted in the report directly named China as the reason for the deployment of such missiles. Officials are usually more guarded on linking upgrades in military capabilities to Japan’s perceived concerns over China.

“This is a very regrettable signal,” said Atsushi Koketsu, emeritus professor at Yamaguchi University of Japan. Adherence to the pacifist Constitution and striving to achieve historical reconciliation with China, South Korea and other Asian neighbors should be a priority of Japan, the scholar said.

Koketsu said Japan’s past militarism had caused great harm to its Asian neighbors and to Japanese as well. Only by correctly understanding its history of aggression can Japan avoid repeating the same mistakes.

“However, since the end of World War II, Japan has never truly completed the task of reflecting on its historical guilt,” Koketsu said. “The Japanese government has not yet fully realized that Japan should bear the historical responsibility for launching wars and colonial rule.

“The right-wing conservatives intensified the situation as they continue to spread the wrong historical cognition of denying the war of aggression in Japanese society while demanding the revision of the pacifist Constitution. They also hope to follow the United States and engage in major power confrontations in the region.”

Koketsu said Japan’s heavy bet on its alliance with the US and its strategy of moving closer to NATO has created the potential for war in the Asia-Pacific region.

“Japan is an Asian country and has the responsibility to maintain peace and stability in the Asian region,” Koketsu said. “The stability of the relationship between Japan and China is crucial to creating a peaceful future in Asia, and countries in the region also want this.”

Lan Shunzheng, a member of the Chinese Institute of Command and Control, a think tank on defense and military technology based in Beijing, said the reports of Japan’s missile plans are jangling nerves in neighboring countries.

Of Japan’s reported missile plans, Lan said: “Japan is pursuing a greater military presence. If this time it succeeds, it will deploy more. If it keeps doing so, a new arms race could be triggered, bringing more chaos into the region.”

Lan said the reports also signaled Japan’s long-term pursuit of military expansion, especially when it comes to offensive weapons.

“It not only violates the spirit of its pacifist Constitution, but also ratchets up geopolitical tensions,” Lan said.

以下為譯文：

專家稱日本軍事升級計劃引發對亞洲安全的擔憂

有關日本可能部署遠程導彈來對付中國的報道引起了專家們的警覺，他們説日本正在積極地偏離和平發展和和平憲法。

編輯日本《讀賣新聞》週日援引身份不明的政府消息人士的話報道，日本正在尋求在其反彈道導彈儲備之外部署1000枚遠程導彈，以增強其對中國的反擊能力。

這份報告意義重大，因為日本的和平憲法禁止其擁有可以打擊外國領土目標的武器。報道中引用的一位消息人士直接點名中國是部署此類導彈的原因。在將軍事能力升級與日本對中國的擔憂聯繫起來的問題上，官員們通常比較謹慎。

“這是一個非常令人遺憾的信號，”日本山口大學名譽教授Atsushi Koketsu説。這位學者説，堅持和平憲法，努力實現與中國、韓國和其他亞洲鄰國的歷史性和解，應該是日本的首要任務。

公克津説，日本過去的軍國主義對亞洲鄰國和日本人都造成了極大的傷害。日本只有正確認識自己的侵略歷史，才能避免重蹈覆轍。

“然而，自第二次世界大戰結束以來，日本從未真正完成反省其歷史罪行的任務，”公克津説。“日本政府還沒有完全認識到日本應該承擔發動戰爭和殖民統治的歷史責任。

“右翼保守派不斷在日本社會散佈否認侵略戰爭、要求修改和平憲法的錯誤歷史認知，加劇了這一局面。他們也希望效仿美國，在該地區從事大國對抗。”

Koketsu表示，日本在與美國結盟上的豪賭，以及其向北約靠攏的戰略，已經在亞太地區製造了戰爭的可能性。

公克津説：“日本是亞洲國家，有責任維護亞洲地區的和平與穩定。“日中關係的穩定對創造亞洲和平的未來至關重要，該地區的國家也希望如此。”

總部設在北京的國防和軍事技術智庫——中國指揮與控制研究院的成員蘭順正表示，有關日本導彈計劃的報道令周邊國家感到不安。

對於日本報道的導彈計劃，蘭説：“日本正在尋求擴大軍事存在。如果這一次成功，它將部署更多。如果它繼續這樣做，可能引發新的軍備競賽，給該地區帶來更多混亂。”

蘭説，這些報道也表明日本長期追求軍事擴張，特別是在進攻性武器方面。

蘭説：“這不僅違反了和平憲法的精神，也加劇了地緣政治的緊張局勢。”